Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 81.813623 91.566602 101.498761 112.339105 123.807217 135.549877 148.453979
2025-09-28 64.839647 78.726015 93.479731 110.194438 128.484167 147.779380 169.566837
2025-10-05 58.251633 74.883864 93.072722 114.183104 137.771008 163.102452 192.156626
2025-10-12 52.401020 70.994293 91.862458 116.594214 144.717280 175.360767 210.948594
2025-10-19 45.964425 65.716613 88.470082 115.987402 147.798224 182.925261 224.180742
2025-10-26 40.547956 61.125309 85.430920 115.384026 150.531733 189.805012 236.383465
2025-11-02 36.544428 57.893752 83.698128 116.035182 154.475422 197.862325 249.743522
2025-11-09 32.317426 54.019913 80.897945 115.164414 156.431567 203.473811 260.176642
2025-11-16 29.063030 51.136307 79.103681 115.319542 159.441098 210.175214 271.750387
2025-11-23 25.639092 47.743330 76.448927 114.234486 160.818218 214.855600 280.892806
2025-11-30 23.611278 46.109798 75.925429 115.689089 165.169859 222.958425 293.952528
2025-12-07 21.878591 44.753131 75.659979 117.385203 169.752220 231.289013 307.246505
2025-12-14 19.298805 41.982552 73.413043 116.505456 171.165326 235.883147 316.228131
2025-12-21 16.478006 38.592450 70.147979 114.172925 170.674920 238.126582 322.386924
2025-12-28 15.988928 38.808961 71.827594 118.265966 178.183796 249.978036 339.911441
2026-01-04 15.038330 38.196422 72.292202 120.721376 183.613209 259.306996 354.439755
2026-01-11 13.273213 36.073669 70.505295 120.103118 185.098707 263.808804 363.184824
2026-01-18 11.675087 34.071934 68.783690 119.487573 186.522932 268.188364 371.747133
2026-01-25 10.548437 32.791392 68.046637 120.151762 189.545537 274.497496 382.607139
2026-02-01 9.152950 30.856148 66.231902 119.263580 190.510571 278.235241 390.339453
2026-02-08 8.121122 29.495096 65.213694 119.421814 192.792519 283.571749 399.984521
2026-02-15 6.927122 27.646072 63.343013 118.314994 193.368255 286.752109 406.985425
2026-02-22 6.339561 26.998674 63.324949 119.798753 197.331853 294.145307 419.109305